Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 242.191226 273.482793 308.409573 350.494342 400.107359 457.077478 527.938657
2024-10-06 194.804534 235.411884 284.880791 350.413647 436.215348 546.554459 702.234315
2024-10-13 164.711578 207.634097 262.900049 340.792219 450.280962 602.751721 838.773754
2024-10-20 146.671829 191.206371 251.158121 340.074535 472.780746 670.827298 1004.102267
2024-10-27 128.149432 171.261136 231.258548 323.760291 468.393157 696.451725 1107.431061
2024-11-03 121.988632 167.458711 233.069519 338.661274 512.660160 805.021845 1376.590619
2024-11-10 117.496730 165.332439 236.719553 356.368530 563.778903 934.881281 1723.358115
2024-11-17 109.585951 157.174481 230.076362 356.243193 584.036075 1013.184510 1991.537290
2024-11-24 100.837709 146.864033 218.880501 346.824428 585.756869 1055.941701 2195.348658
2024-12-01 93.365952 137.888046 208.907612 338.162369 587.261067 1098.118683 2411.663048
2024-12-08 90.106919 135.332862 209.186072 347.641937 625.136328 1224.806539 2890.346536
2024-12-15 85.733591 130.569938 205.228915 348.729325 646.108648 1318.650872 3319.952355
2024-12-22 80.470986 124.082797 197.979892 343.248115 653.622999 1385.838885 3712.803677
2024-12-29 76.533578 119.564385 193.837183 343.402082 673.699375 1490.022141 4284.729543
2025-01-05 71.625006 113.006408 185.440720 334.014862 670.624073 1533.522166 4670.463953
2025-01-12 68.355644 109.077258 181.517339 333.315425 687.707305 1636.635147 5349.057843
2025-01-19 63.405168 101.850261 170.891776 317.407391 665.640890 1622.933225 5541.883592
2025-01-26 62.634100 102.056178 174.316135 331.937550 721.610475 1857.732193 7020.722246
2025-02-02 62.162676 102.757443 178.730255 349.198606 788.295665 2151.467295 9110.098197
2025-02-09 59.796533 99.781442 175.641989 349.076449 808.305549 2296.646798 10549.965658
2025-02-16 56.666030 95.183618 168.965163 339.895738 801.490216 2344.801758 11446.601555
2025-02-23 53.832570 90.997959 162.849115 331.451131 795.560836 2395.576096 12436.217952
2025-03-02 52.894009 90.385394 164.025074 340.692651 843.556617 2674.152547 15549.207520